Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Oct 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
15 Oct 2022 06:00 - 15 Oct 2022 18:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 83 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
Green 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 83 5.1 million No people Mexico
Green 3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
Green 4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 74 2.5 million No people Mexico
Green 5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 93 2.5 million No people Mexico
Green 6 12 Oct 2022 21:00 102 2.5 million No people Mexico
Green 7 13 Oct 2022 03:00 93 2.7 million No people Mexico
Green 8 13 Oct 2022 09:00 83 2.5 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.6, -94.4
GREEN
2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 12000 people 20.5, -94.9
GREEN
3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.1, -94.9
GREEN
4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.7, -94.7
GREEN
5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22, -94.5
GREEN
6 12 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.2, -94.4
GREEN
7 13 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.4, -94.3
GREEN
8 13 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.4, -94.4
GREEN
8 13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.7, -93.9
GREEN
8 14 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.7, -93.6
GREEN
8 14 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 200000 people 19.7, -93.5
GREEN
8 15 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.4 million people 18.7, -93.9
GREEN
8 15 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.4, -94.6 Mexico
GREEN
8 16 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 16.4, -95.4 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mexico 2.4 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Veracruz Mexico 2.1 million people
Tabasco Mexico 280000 people
Oaxaca Mexico 18000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people
Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
Acayucan Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
Minatitlan Old 27 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico
Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
Rabon Grande Mexico
Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico

Nuclear plants

Name Country Reactors
LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO 2

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Kopernik Shores, United States. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (246 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 13 Oct 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.6
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Boca Chica United States  0.5
13 Oct 2022 11:00 South Padre Island United States  0.5
15 Oct 2022 01:00 Majahual Mexico  0.5
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.5
13 Oct 2022 11:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 11:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 11:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 11:00 Port Isabel United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Champoton Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Palacios United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Nadeau United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Texas City United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Virginia Point United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Fort Travis United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Flake United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Elmgrove United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 21:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Quintana United States  0.4
14 Oct 2022 23:00 Calderas Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 22:00 Galveston United States  0.4
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Arista Mexico  0.4
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.4
14 Oct 2022 19:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 21:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Freeport United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Mims United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port Morris United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 21:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Surfside United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.3
14 Oct 2022 23:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
15 Oct 2022 10:00 Tonala Mexico  0.3
15 Oct 2022 04:00 La Mata Mexico  0.3
15 Oct 2022 00:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Estes United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 22:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Sea Isle United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Patton United States  0.3
15 Oct 2022 05:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 15:00 High Island United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Noham Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Rockport United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Copano Village United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Fulton United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Caplen United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Gilchrist United States  0.3
15 Oct 2022 07:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
13 Oct 2022 22:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Cameron United States  0.3
12 Oct 2022 16:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.3
15 Oct 2022 01:00 Santeneja Belize  0.3
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2022 20:00 Sisal Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2022 20:00 Celestum Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Oak Grove United States  0.3
15 Oct 2022 11:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 18:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 22:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 03:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 02:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2022 12:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 10:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2022 08:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 15:00 Yarborough United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 20:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 20:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 20:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Breton United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 West Point United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Hilda United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Gautier United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 15:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
15 Oct 2022 05:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2022 05:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chelem Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Progreso Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
12 Oct 2022 08:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 08:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 08:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Leeville United States  0.2
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 20:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.2
15 Oct 2022 05:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
12 Oct 2022 00:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 17:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 19:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
12 Oct 2022 09:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
12 Oct 2022 09:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Buras United States  0.2
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
16 Oct 2022 02:00 Eden Isle United States  0.1
16 Oct 2022 03:00 Howze Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 17:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 20:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Neptune United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Coden United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 22:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Nelson United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 18:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Boothville United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
11 Oct 2022 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
12 Oct 2022 08:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
15 Oct 2022 02:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2022 20:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Swift United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Miffin United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 22:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gasque United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oak United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 08:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
13 Oct 2022 19:00 Duvic United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Raya Honduras  0.1
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Clubki Honduras  0.1
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 Surf United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 19:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
14 Oct 2022 23:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
15 Oct 2022 06:00 San Pedro Belize  0.1
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Oct 2022 21:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Odena United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 13:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Tilton United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Franklin United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Apalachicola United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Eastpoint United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 01:00 Yent Place United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 07:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Gulf Resort Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Lullwater Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Bahama Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Gulf Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Panama City Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Edgewater Gulf Beach United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Long Beach Resort United States  0.1
14 Oct 2022 04:00 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 McNeils United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 23:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1